It is understood that the main import trade countries of China's raw wood and downstream products are Malaysia, Indonesia, the United States, Russia, and Thailand. Among them, Indonesia, Malaysia, and Thailand are all victims of the tsunami. These countries will need a large amount of raw wood for their own reconstruction, and the export volume will be affected. The price of raw wood will also be affected.
However, people in the industry believe that the tsunami is only the last straw to overwhelm the camel. A former timber trader said that the impact of the tsunami on the original timber imports was first manifested psychologically. Most of the domestic manufacturers had stocks last year, but they worried that the import of raw wood would be reduced in the future, and exporters who were tempted by the wind would raise prices.
In fact, since the Spring Festival in 2004, the price of raw materials for flooring has generally increased, with an increase of about 10% in a year, and individual varieties have even reached more than 20%. â€œAfter years of excessive deforestation, forests in Southeast Asia have been under pressure from environmental protection, and governments have begun to implement policies that restrict the production and export of precious raw wood,â€ the trader said. In Indonesia, for example, in order to protect the ecological environment and maintain the price of plywood and other raw wood processing products, the government has temporarily banned the export of logs since January 2002 and has forbidden the export of logs forever from June 8, 2002. After the tsunami, due to reconstruction, the smuggling of logs was a heavy blow.
Lu Weiguang, chairman of Shanghai Anxin Flooring Co., Ltd., which has acquired 1,000 square kilometers of forest resources in Brazil and has firmly grasped the upstream resources, told reporters that the price of raw wood will be a threshold this year, separating enterprises with resources and resources. "I estimate that 40% of the domestic flooring companies will close down, and for Anxin, the rise in raw wood prices is a good news." Lu Weiguang said with a smile.
At present, 70% of the original wood from Anxin is from Brazil, 15% from Indonesia, the remaining 10% from Russia, and Africa and Myanmar together account for 5%. The increasingly tight supply of Southeast Asia is no longer able to meet China's growing demand for imported raw wood, but success stories like Lu Weiguang are still rare.
It is reported that the original timber in Australia, Europe, Africa and the Americas has entered China in the early years, and the current import volume is increasing. In Lu Weiguang's view, "Whoever grasps the upstream resources can win the market." At present, the dilemma of domestic raw wood prices may be a good revelation. At the same time, we must also diversify procurement channels while grasping resources.
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